Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2.360708e-02 0.026001 0.028383 0.030926 0.033558 0.036197 0.039040
2025-02-09 1.817753e-02 0.021960 0.025857 0.030141 0.034692 0.039360 0.044489
2025-02-16 1.517375e-02 0.019841 0.024786 0.030344 0.036358 0.042620 0.049587
2025-02-23 1.271340e-02 0.017968 0.023686 0.030238 0.037438 0.045023 0.053546
2025-03-02 1.061817e-02 0.016272 0.022588 0.029961 0.038172 0.046912 0.056813
2025-03-09 8.971170e-03 0.014927 0.021754 0.029858 0.038992 0.048799 0.059985
2025-03-16 7.247061e-03 0.013327 0.020509 0.029191 0.039098 0.049830 0.062153
2025-03-23 6.156016e-03 0.012405 0.019982 0.029280 0.039993 0.051677 0.065161
2025-03-30 4.972600e-03 0.011245 0.019095 0.028888 0.040292 0.052820 0.067352
2025-04-06 3.817025e-03 0.009992 0.018014 0.028208 0.040213 0.053498 0.068991
2025-04-13 2.593571e-03 0.008463 0.016490 0.026930 0.039391 0.053299 0.069616
2025-04-20 2.199003e-03 0.008140 0.016489 0.027470 0.040660 0.055438 0.072823
2025-04-27 1.548279e-03 0.007363 0.015949 0.027457 0.041420 0.057162 0.075760
2025-05-04 8.061575e-04 0.006208 0.014851 0.026748 0.041384 0.058020 0.077783
2025-05-11 4.407734e-04 0.005628 0.014499 0.026946 0.042402 0.060065 0.081124
2025-05-18 1.457612e-04 0.004951 0.013944 0.026846 0.043033 0.061641 0.083910
2025-05-25 6.742004e-07 0.004256 0.013293 0.026581 0.043436 0.062927 0.086346
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003698 0.012795 0.026484 0.044017 0.064401 0.088974
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002966 0.011927 0.025849 0.043908 0.065045 0.090634
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002587 0.011608 0.025933 0.044671 0.066696 0.093431
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002076 0.010980 0.025561 0.044844 0.067635 0.095393
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001534 0.010185 0.024914 0.044647 0.068118 0.096814
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000914 0.009038 0.023701 0.043696 0.067680 0.097150